{"id":2022,"date":"2025-05-26T10:09:35","date_gmt":"2025-05-26T15:09:35","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/inti.llc\/?p=2022"},"modified":"2025-05-26T10:15:57","modified_gmt":"2025-05-26T15:15:57","slug":"20250526-preocupacion-por-deficit-fiscal-y-nuevos-aranceles","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/inti.llc\/en\/20250526-preocupacion-por-deficit-fiscal-y-nuevos-aranceles\/","title":{"rendered":"Preocupaci\u00f3n por d\u00e9ficit fiscal y nuevos aranceles"},"content":{"rendered":"

Semana del 19 al 23 de mayo de 2025<\/p>\n\n\n\n

La semana pasada fue mala para los mercados financieros. El S&P 500 cay\u00f3 2.61%, el Nasdaq y Dow Jones tambi\u00e9n cayeron 2.5%.  La rebaja crediticia de Moody\u2019s, las cr\u00edticas a las pol\u00edticas comerciales y las nuevas amenazas arancelarias de Trump generaron incertidumbre. Adem\u00e1s, el proyecto fiscal de Trump, conocido como \u00abBig Beautiful Bill\u00bb (BBB), gener\u00f3 reacciones mixtas al no cumplir las expectativas de reducci\u00f3n del d\u00e9ficit fiscal, lo que dispar\u00f3 los rendimientos de los bonos a largo plazo. As\u00ed las tasas de bonos del tesoro a 10 y 30 a\u00f1os subieron 0.07% y 0.13% respectivamente en la semana.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

Lunes 19 de Mayo: A pesar de rebaja de Moody\u2019s el mercado se muestra \u201cresiliente\u201d<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

La semana comenz\u00f3 con Moody\u2019s rebajando la deuda soberana de EE.UU<\/a>. una categor\u00eda, de AAA a Aa1, mostrando preocupaciones por el aumento de la deuda y los ratios de pago de intereses. \u00c9sto gener\u00f3 venta en los bonos del Tesoro que llev\u00f3 las tasas a 30 a\u00f1os por encima de 5% y el de 10 a\u00f1os a 4.56%. El S&P 500 abri\u00f3 con una ca\u00edda del 1%, sin embargo, el mercado mostr\u00f3 apetito por acciones saliendo a comprar la ca\u00edda, y el \u00edndice cerr\u00f3 con una leve ganancia, marcando su octava sesi\u00f3n positiva en nueve d\u00edas. Los bonos se recuperaron, con los rendimientos de Tesoros a 10 y 30 a\u00f1os cayendo a 4.48% y 4.97%. El mercado mostr\u00f3 resiliencia con un \u00edndice de volatilidad (VIX) regresando a 18 tras tocar 19.5 temprano.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Martes 20 de Mayo: Home Depot brilla, pero el S&P 500 cae<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

El S&P 500 perdi\u00f3 su racha ganadora de seis sesiones consecutivas al alza, cayendo 0.4% en una sesi\u00f3n de bajo volumen. Home Depot report\u00f3 ganancias s\u00f3lidas antes de la apertura, subiendo 2.4% tras una mejora en ventas y la reafirmaci\u00f3n de su gu\u00eda anual. Las tasas del Tesoro a 30 a\u00f1os subieron nuevamente por encima de 5%, reflejando presi\u00f3n renovada. El oro subi\u00f3 2% a $3,291 por onza, y el petr\u00f3leo se mantuvo en $62 por barril, con el VIX en 18, indicando calma relativa.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Mi\u00e9rcoles 21 de Mayo: Preocupaciones por el D\u00e9ficit y Cr\u00edticas de Nvidia<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Wall Street abri\u00f3 con una leve baja tras informes sobre el proyecto de presupuesto republicano para recortes fiscales, con debates sobre deducciones SALT y temores de un d\u00e9ficit creciente. A mitad de la sesi\u00f3n, una subasta de bonos del Tesoros con poca demanda hizo subir las tasas largas y caer las acciones. El S&P 500 cerr\u00f3 en -1.61%, su mayor p\u00e9rdida diaria en un mes. El CEO de Nvidia mostr\u00f3 preocupaci\u00f3n por las nuevas restricciones de exportaci\u00f3n de sus chips a China resaltando que este tipo de medidas solo le restan competitividad a EE.UU<\/a>. vs China.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Jueves 22 de Mayo: El Proyecto Fiscal BBB Genera Reacciones Mixtas<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

El \u00abBig Beautiful Bill\u00bb (BBB) de Trump, un documento que consolida la parte obligatoria del presupuesto fiscal, fue aprobado sorprendentemente por un solo voto en su versi\u00f3n inicial y escalado al Senado. Aunque el mercado esperaba un recorte significativo del d\u00e9ficit fiscal, el BBB no cumpli\u00f3 esas expectativas, lo que dispar\u00f3 las tasas del Tesoro a niveles r\u00e9cord: el bono a 30 a\u00f1os alcanz\u00f3 un r\u00e9cord 5.131%, su m\u00e1ximo desde 2007, mientras que la de 10 a\u00f1os lleg\u00f3 a 4.613%. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

El S&P 500 cerr\u00f3 plano, liderado por el Nasdaq gracias a la fortaleza en tecnolog\u00eda, con Amazon subiendo tras el anuncio del Hedge Fund de Bill Ackman, Pershing Square, que ha iniciado una posici\u00f3n en la acci\u00f3n. El bitcoin alcanz\u00f3 $111,000, el oro se estabiliz\u00f3 en $3,293 por onza, y el VIX subi\u00f3 a 20.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Viernes 23 de Mayo: Nuevas Amenazas Arancelarias Aumentan la Tensi\u00f3n<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Antes del inicio de la sesi\u00f3n, el Presidente Trump anunci\u00f3 aranceles del 50% a la EU y del 25% a iPhones no fabricados en EE.UU., buscando presionar a los representantes de la EU a avanzar con las negociaciones comerciales y al CEO de Apple a alinearse con su pol\u00edtica de reshoring. El S&P 500 abri\u00f3 con una ca\u00edda del 1.5%, pero el mercado limit\u00f3 las p\u00e9rdidas a 0.7%. Las tasas de los bonos del Tesoro se mantuvieron estables, con el bono a 2 a\u00f1os en 4% y el de 30 a\u00f1os en 5.04%. El oro avanz\u00f3 2% a $3,361 por onza y el VIX cerr\u00f3 en 22, un aumento de 5 puntos en la semana, reflejando una tensa calma.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Esta semana se publican datos macroecon\u00f3micos de importancia, como:<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

Tambi\u00e9n esperamos que esta semana, se publiquen resultados financieros de:<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/figure>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Semana del 19 al 23 de mayo de 2025 La semana pasada fue mala para los mercados financieros. El S&P 500 cay\u00f3 2.61%, el Nasdaq y Dow Jones tambi\u00e9n cayeron 2.5%.  La rebaja crediticia de Moody\u2019s, las cr\u00edticas a las pol\u00edticas comerciales y las nuevas amenazas arancelarias de Trump generaron incertidumbre. Adem\u00e1s, el proyecto fiscal […]<\/p>","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":2028,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-2022","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-noticias"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"\nPreocupaci\u00f3n por d\u00e9ficit fiscal y nuevos aranceles - Inti<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"resumen semanal de eventos importantes para los mercados financieros en EE.UU.\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/inti.llc\/en\/20250526-preocupacion-por-deficit-fiscal-y-nuevos-aranceles\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Preocupaci\u00f3n por d\u00e9ficit fiscal y nuevos aranceles - 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