{"id":2029,"date":"2025-06-02T15:01:25","date_gmt":"2025-06-02T20:01:25","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/inti.llc\/?p=2029"},"modified":"2025-06-02T15:20:04","modified_gmt":"2025-06-02T20:20:04","slug":"20250602-nueva-postergacion-de-aranceles-acercan-al-mercado-a-maximos","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/inti.llc\/en\/20250602-nueva-postergacion-de-aranceles-acercan-al-mercado-a-maximos\/","title":{"rendered":"Nueva postergaci\u00f3n de aranceles acercan al mercado a m\u00e1ximos"},"content":{"rendered":"

Semana del 26 al 30 de Mayo de 2025<\/p>\n\n\n\n

La semana del 26 al 30 de mayo de 2025 el mercado arranc\u00f3 la semana con un rebote fuerte por la postergaci\u00f3n de aranceles a la EU y cuando el mercado perd\u00eda fuerza a mediados de semana, el crecimiento destacado de Nvidia le di\u00f3 un aire de estabilidad al mercado para luego perder fuerza hacia el fin de semana por los comentarios de EE.UU. acerca de un potencial incumplimiento de China sobre los acuerdos avanzados. Mientras que el mercado de deuda soberana americana se mantiene en tasas cercanas a m\u00e1ximos hist\u00f3ricos, lo cual genera preocupaci\u00f3n entre especialistas.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

Lunes 26 de Mayo: Mercados Cerrados por Memorial Day<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n

Los mercados estuvieron cerrados por el feriado del D\u00eda de los Ca\u00eddos (Memorial Day), marcando una pausa en la actividad burs\u00e1til tras la volatilidad de la semana anterior, donde el S&P 500 hab\u00eda ca\u00eddo un 2.61%.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Martes 27 de Mayo: Alivio Arancelario y Confianza del Consumidor<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

El S&P 500 subi\u00f3 un 2%, impulsado por la decisi\u00f3n del presidente Donald Trump de retrasar hasta el 9 de julio los aranceles del 50% a la Uni\u00f3n Europea. \u00c9sto calm\u00f3 los temores tras la ca\u00edda del viernes 23, cuando los inversionistas se preocuparon por un posible retorno a altas tensiones comerciales. El \u00edndice de confianza del consumidor de Conference Board para mayo subi\u00f3 12.3 puntos a 98, rompiendo cinco meses de ca\u00eddas, beneficiando a sectores como el consumo discrecional (viajes y retail) y porque el plazo de medici\u00f3n se realiz\u00f3 justo despu\u00e9s de que China y EE.UU. acordaron pausas los aranceles. Las tasas del Tesoro bajaron, con el bono a 2 a\u00f1os en 3.92% y el de 30 a\u00f1os en 4.94%, reflejando optimismo comercial. El oro cay\u00f3 a $3,305 por onza y el VIX baj\u00f3 a 19.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Mi\u00e9rcoles 28 de Mayo: Una pausa tras el repunte<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Tras el fuerte avance del martes, el S&P 500 cay\u00f3 un 0.6%, perdiendo parte de las ganancias previas, mientras los inversionistas esperaban resultados de Nvidia y Salesforce. La decisi\u00f3n de Trump de posponer los aranceles a la UE continu\u00f3 apoyando el sentimiento, pero las cr\u00edticas de Elon Musk al \u00abBig Beautiful Bill\u00bb (BBB) de Trump, un paquete fiscal con recortes de impuestos y prioridades de gasto, generaron dudas. Musk se\u00f1al\u00f3 que el BBB socava los esfuerzos del Departamento de Eficiencia Gubernamental, mientras el senador republicano Ron Johnson advirti\u00f3 que el proyecto podr\u00eda agrandar el d\u00e9ficit. Las tasas del Tesoro subieron ligeramente a 3.96% (2 a\u00f1os) y 4.97% (30 a\u00f1os) y el oro se consolid\u00f3 en $3,300 por onza..<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Jueves 29 de Mayo: Nvidia brilla y un fallo judicial impacta<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

El Tribunal de Comercio Internacional de EE.UU. bloque\u00f3 los aranceles \u201crec\u00edprocos\u201d impuestos por Trump en abril, lo que llev\u00f3 al S&P 500 a abrir con un alza del 1.5%. Sin embargo, las ganancias se moderaron al 0.4% al cierre, tras incertidumbre sobre el camino legal del caso, que podr\u00eda llegar a la Corte Suprema. Nvidia report\u00f3 un trimestre excepcional, con sus acciones subiendo 5% tras una s\u00f3lida proyecci\u00f3n de utilidades, a pesar de p\u00e9rdidas en China. Las tasas del Tesoro bajaron a 3.92% (2 a\u00f1os) y 4.92% (30 a\u00f1os), el oro subi\u00f3 a $3,318 por onza y el VIX se mantuvo en 19.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Viernes 30 de Mayo: Tensiones con China y Datos Econ\u00f3micos Positivos<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Trump acus\u00f3 a China de violar su acuerdo comercial preliminar, tras comentarios del secretario del Tesoro, Scott Bessent, sobre negociaciones estancadas. Bloomberg report\u00f3 nuevas restricciones a empresas tecnol\u00f3gicas chinas, afectando al sector tecnol\u00f3gico. El S&P 500 cay\u00f3 a mediod\u00eda, pero cerr\u00f3 plano gracias al apetito por riesgo del mercado. El \u00edndice PCE, indicador de inflaci\u00f3n preferido por la Fed, mostr\u00f3 mejora en la inflaci\u00f3n esperada (inflaci\u00f3n subyacente anual 2.5% vs 2.6%).<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Adicionalmente el medidor de PBI (GDPNow de la Fed de Atlanta), el cual incorpora las cifras a la fecha vs las cifras oficiales que son medidas al comienzo del siguiente trimestre, actualiz\u00f3 el avance del segundo trimestre a 3.8% desde su \u00faltima medici\u00f3n, 2.2%, sugiriendo un rebote econ\u00f3mico. Un fallo judicial permiti\u00f3 a Trump reinstaurar temporalmente sus aranceles \u201crec\u00edprocos\u201d. El S&P 500 cerr\u00f3 mayo con un alza del 6.2%, su mejor mes desde 1990, y un avance del 0.5% en el a\u00f1o. Las tasas del Tesoro siguieron bajando, a 3.89% (2 a\u00f1os) y 4.92% (30 a\u00f1os), el oro baj\u00f3 a $3,291 por onza y el VIX a 19.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Esta semana se publican datos macroecon\u00f3micos de importancia destacando los reportes de empleo entre otros.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

Tambi\u00e9n esperamos que esta semana, se publiquen resultados financieros de:
<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Semana del 26 al 30 de Mayo de 2025 La semana del 26 al 30 de mayo de 2025 el mercado arranc\u00f3 la semana con un rebote fuerte por la postergaci\u00f3n de aranceles a la EU y cuando el mercado perd\u00eda fuerza a mediados de semana, el crecimiento destacado de Nvidia le di\u00f3 un aire […]<\/p>","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":2035,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[34,9],"class_list":["post-2029","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-noticias","tag-economia-2","tag-inversiones"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"\nNueva postergaci\u00f3n de aranceles acercan al mercado a m\u00e1ximos - Inti<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"S&P 500 sube 1.9% (26-30 may 2025) por alivio arancelario con UE y datos econ\u00f3micos positivos. \u00bfC\u00f3mo impacta tu inversi\u00f3n? 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